العامل الأساسي

• Home advantage in Süper Lig (historically ~42-45% home win rate) is the primary differentiating factor
• No recent form data available for either side — prediction defaults to structural baseline
• Round 30 timing implies high motivational stakes for both clubs, likely producing a tight, competitive affair
• Kayserispor's historical profile as a resilient away side keeps the away win probability equal to the draw
• Low expected goal environment likely given the tactical conservatism typical of mid/lower-table Super Lig clashes
• High overall uncertainty — confidence capped at 0.35 due to absence of lineups, standings, and bookmaker data