العامل الأساسي

• Atlanta United lost 0-2 at home to Nashville SC most recently, indicating defensive vulnerability and poor home form
• New England Revolution won 2-1 vs Columbus Crew, demonstrating positive momentum and composure in close matches
• Home advantage at Mercedes-Benz Stadium partially offsets Atlanta's poor form but is diminished after a recent home loss
• Short 4-day turnaround for both teams may affect sharpness and squad selection
• No lineups or standings available to further refine the probability model
• Absence of bookmaker-implied priors requires a wider confidence interval around predictions