Osasuna vs Sevilla: Preview, predicted lineups and match prediction – La Liga Jornada 32

Sevilla arrive at El Sadar having won just one of their last four La Liga outings, and Osasuna will sense a golden opportunity to take advantage of their guests' alarming slump in Jornada 32.

Form Analysis

Osasuna's recent record is a tale of two terrains. Jagoba Arrasate's side fell 1-0 away to Athletic Club last time out and were held 2-2 at Deportivo Alavés before that, but sandwiched between those away disappointments was a clean-sheet victory over Girona right here at El Sadar — a timely reminder that the Navarrans remain a stubborn proposition on home soil.

Sevilla, meanwhile, are in genuine difficulty. A 2-1 win over Atlético Madrid on 11 April offered a rare moment of encouragement, but Francisco Javier García Pimienta's side have lost three of their last four league matches. A home defeat to Valencia, a 1-0 loss at Real Oviedo and a 2-0 reverse at Levante have compounded the sense of a club drifting. Conceding four goals across those last two defeats raises urgent questions about their defensive organisation ahead of one of the most ferocious atmospheres in the division.

Predicted Lineups and Key Players

Osasuna line up with Sergio Herrera in goal behind a back four of Valentin Rosier, Enzo Boyomo, Jorge Herrando and Javi Galán. Lucas Torró anchors midfield, with Jon Moncayola and the creative Aimar Oroz operating in the half-spaces. Up front, the attacking trio of Rubén García, Ante Budimir and Víctor Muñoz carries the goal threat. Budimir is the fulcrum: a physically imposing centre-forward who feeds on deliveries into the box. If Osasuna can stretch Sevilla's defence with their wide runners and deliver early, the Croatian will be a persistent menace.

For the visitors, Odysseas Vlachodimos starts in goal behind a defence featuring Kike Salas, Andrés Castrín and Oso. Nemanja Gudelj and Lucien Agoumé form a deep midfield pairing, with Manu Bueno and Rubén Vargas tasked with providing drive. Akor Adams leads the line as Sevilla's centre-forward, with Isaac Romero operating in a supporting role. Adams will need to win the physical battle against Osasuna's compact centre-backs if Sevilla are to create anything of substance — but with service from midfield so limited in recent weeks, that task looks difficult.

Prediction

The analytical model gives Osasuna a 45% probability of victory, with Sevilla at 27% and the draw at 28%. A predicted score of 1-0 to the hosts reflects the nature of what this fixture is likely to be: tight, contested and settled by a single moment rather than an open exchange. Budimir converting from a set-piece or a sharp Osasuna transition in the first hour is the most plausible route to three points.

At a confidence level of 52 out of 100, nothing is written in stone. Sevilla's win over Atlético showed they can still produce on a good day, and Adams has the physical tools to unsettle any defence. But Osasuna's home reliability, combined with Sevilla's worrying recent record, tips the balance towards the Navarrans. A narrow 1-0 home victory looks the most likely single outcome.