Inter 3-2 Como: Nerazzurri survive a spirited fightback to advance in the Coppa Italia
Inter survived a spirited Como fightback to win 3-2 in a dramatic Coppa Italia tie at San Siro, advancing despite a performance that was far from their clinical best.
3-2
Match Summary
Inter edged past a surprisingly stubborn Como side 3-2 in a Coppa Italia clash that turned out far more dramatic than most had anticipated. Our pre-match model had tipped a comfortable 2-0 home win with 68% confidence, and while the result went Inter's way, Como refused to follow the script, pushing the Nerazzurri deep into a nervy finish at San Siro.
Inter arrived into the tie in exceptional form — three wins from their last four outings, including a stunning 5-2 demolition of Roma and a 3-0 dismissal of Cagliari. The expectation was efficiency and control. They delivered the victory, but the margin of just one goal tells a more complicated story than the recent run of form suggested.
Como, for their part, had endured a difficult patch heading in — back-to-back defeats against Sassuolo and in their previous league outing, with only a goalless draw at Udinese offering any hint of defensive solidity. Yet in Turin, they found pockets of quality and tested Inter's backline in ways few had predicted. The pre-match probability of both teams scoring sat at just 35%, making the 3-2 scoreline a genuine statistical outlier.
Key Moments
Inter ultimately showed why they remain the superior side, converting three times to take control of the tie. But Como's two goals injected genuine tension into proceedings and will have given the Inter coaching staff plenty to reflect on. The Nerazzurri's attacking play was again a highlight — they have now scored eleven goals across their last three competitive home matches — but defensive lapses allowed Como moments they would not normally enjoy against top-flight opposition in this form.
The over-2.5 goals market had been flagged as likely at 58%, and the match delivered beyond even that expectation with five goals in total. It was a cup tie that played to the crowd in the best possible way, though Inter's supporters will have preferred a calmer passage through.
What It Means
For Inter, progression in the Coppa Italia adds another potential route to silverware in what is shaping up to be a productive 2025-26 campaign. Their depth and firepower remain formidable: four wins from five, twenty-three goals scored, and a mentality that held firm when Como threatened to make it a genuine upset.
For Como, there is no shame in this defeat. Pushing Inter to a 3-2 scoreline away from home in cup football is no mean feat, particularly given their inconsistent recent form in league play. The challenge now is translating that competitive spirit into more consistent results in the weeks ahead.
The pre-match model called the winner correctly — Inter were always the logical favourites — but the 3-2 scoreline was a reminder that football rarely follows a tidy script. Cup football, above all, has a way of making the game wonderfully unpredictable.