Recent form
Canada home win probability: 44%
Confidence45%
World Cup
FT
Canada
1:1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence44%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Draw probability: 30%
Confidence45%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence45%
Market signals
Bosnia and Herzegovina away win probability: 26%
Confidence45%
Match odds
1X2
Canada2.27
Draw3.33
Bosnia and Herzegovina3.85
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.63
Under 2.51.61
Prediction
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
45%
Prediction
Canada
Outcome probabilities
Canada · 44%Draw · 30%Bosnia and Herzegovina · 26%
Key factor
- Canada home win probability: 44%
- Draw probability: 30%
- Bosnia and Herzegovina away win probability: 26%
- Over 2.5 goals probability: 38%
- Both teams to score probability: 50%
- Predicted score: Canada 2–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Canada host Bosnia and Herzegovina in Round 1 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Toronto Stadium on 12 June 2026. Canada are favoured at 44% win probability, buoyed by home-nation advantage and the quality of Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David. A narrow 2-1 Canadian victory is predicted, though a draw remains a realistic outcome at 30% probability.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
Lineups
ConfirmedCanada
16
Crépeau
2
Johnston
3
Jones
22
Laryea
23
Sigur
7
Eustaquio
8
Koné
14
Shaffelburg
17
Buchanan
10
David
12
Oluwaseyi
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1
Vasilj
4
Muharemović
5
Kolasinac
7
Dedić
18
Katic
6
Tahirović
14
Sunjic
26
Mahmic
10
Demirovic
11
Džeko
20
Bajraktarevic
FAQ
Canada are predicted to win their opening World Cup 2026 match against Bosnia and Herzegovina, driven by home advantage at Toronto Stadium and the quality of players like Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David.
Post-match recap
Canada 1-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina: Host Nation Held in World Cup Opener
Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina shared the spoils in a 1-1 World Cup draw on home soil, denying the host nation the dream start they craved.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Canada1 : 1Bosnia and Herzegovina