Recent form
Iran win probability: 52%
Confidence52%
World CupLos Angeles Stadium
UPCOMING
Iran
UPCOMING
New Zealand
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence52%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Draw probability: 26%
Confidence52%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence52%
Market signals
New Zealand win probability: 22%
Confidence52%
Match odds
1X2
Iran1.92
Draw3.85
New Zealand4.55
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.50
Under 2.51.67
Prediction
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
52%
Prediction
Iran
Outcome probabilities
Iran · 52%Draw · 26%New Zealand · 22%
Key factor
- Iran win probability: 52%
- Draw probability: 26%
- New Zealand win probability: 22%
- Both teams to score: ~46%
- Over 2.5 goals: ~40%
- Predicted score: Iran 2–1 New Zealand
Iran are favored at 52% to defeat New Zealand in the 2026 FIFA World Cup opener at Los Angeles Stadium on June 16. The predicted score is Iran 2–1 New Zealand, driven by Iran's superior FIFA ranking and European-based squad talent. New Zealand's Chris Wood provides the chief counter-threat. Both teams to score is assessed at 46%.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Iran are favored based on their higher FIFA ranking, stronger squad depth, and consistent World Cup history. New Zealand qualified via OFC and represent a significant underdog.
Pre-match preview
Iran vs New Zealand: World Cup Group Stage Opener — Tactical Preview and Prediction
Iran and New Zealand meet in Los Angeles for their 2026 World Cup Group Stage opener — a tighter contest than the rankings suggest, with our analysis pointing to a narrow Iran win.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Iran- : -New Zealand