Recent form
Spain win probability: 72%
Confidence62%
World Cup
Live
Spain
0:0
Cape Verde Islands
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence72%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Draw probability: 17%
Confidence62%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence62%
Market signals
Cape Verde win probability: 11%
Confidence62%
Match odds
1X2
Spain1.39
Draw5.88
Cape Verde Islands9.09
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.51.92
Under 2.52.08
Prediction
Predicted score
2-0
Confidence
62%
Prediction
Spain
Outcome probabilities
Spain · 72%Draw · 17%Cape Verde Islands · 11%
Key factor
- Spain win probability: 72%
- Draw probability: 17%
- Cape Verde win probability: 11%
- Over 2.5 goals: ~52%
- Both teams to score: ~32%
- Predicted score: Spain 2-0 Cape Verde
Spain are heavy favorites against Cape Verde Islands in their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage opener at Atlanta Stadium. With a predicted 2-0 victory, Spain's superior technical quality, recent tournament pedigree (Euro 2024, Nations League 2024), and squad depth give them a 72% win probability. Cape Verde will defend deep but are unlikely to threaten a clean sheet from Spain.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Spain are heavy favorites based on their FIFA ranking, recent tournament wins (Euro 2024, Nations League 2024), and overall squad quality. Cape Verde Islands are competitive at AFCON level but face a massive step up against a World Cup contender.
Pre-match preview
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands: World Cup 2026 Preview, Tactical Analysis and Prediction
Spain open their 2026 World Cup campaign at Atlanta Stadium against a Cape Verde Islands side that has earned its place on the world stage — but La Roja are heavy favourites to start with three points.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Spain0 : 0Cape Verde Islands