FootballPredictions AI
Serie A
FT
Palmeiras crest
Palmeiras
1:0
Chapecoense crest
Chapecoense

AI analysis across six dimensions

Each dimension combines model output with available match context.

Recent form

Palmeiras: W-D-W-D-D in last 5, including 3-0 at Flamengo

Confidence68%

Team strength

Palmeiras

Relative strength from outcome probabilities.

Confidence68%

Head-to-head history

1 previous meeting(s) considered.

Confidence10%

Statistical trends

Chapecoense: L-L-W-D-L in last 5, back-to-back home defeats

Confidence68%

AI sentiment

Overall model confidence for this forecast.

Confidence68%

Market signals

Palmeiras max goals conceded in last 5 games: 1

Confidence68%

Match odds

1X2

Palmeiras1.47
Draw5.00
Chapecoense8.33

Handicap ±0.5

Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—

Odds unavailable

Over / Under 2.5 goals

Over 2.52.22
Under 2.51.82

Prediction

Predicted score
2-0
Confidence
68%
Prediction
Palmeiras

Outcome probabilities

Palmeiras · 68%Draw · 20%Chapecoense · 12%

Key factor

  • Palmeiras: W-D-W-D-D in last 5, including 3-0 at Flamengo
  • Chapecoense: L-L-W-D-L in last 5, back-to-back home defeats
  • Palmeiras max goals conceded in last 5 games: 1
  • Chapecoense lost 3 of last 5, scoring only 6 and conceding 8
  • Predicted score: Palmeiras 2-0 Chapecoense
  • Home win probability: 68%

Palmeiras host Chapecoense at Allianz Parque in Round 18 of the 2026 Serie A. Palmeiras are strong favorites with a 68% win probability, backed by impressive recent form including a 3-0 win at Flamengo. Chapecoense arrive in poor form with three losses in five and should struggle to contain the hosts. Predicted score: Palmeiras 2-0 Chapecoense.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data

FAQ

Palmeiras are strong favorites to win at home, with a predicted probability of around 68% based on their recent form and the quality gap between the two sides.
Post-match recap

Palmeiras 1-0 Chapecoense: Verdão Grind Out a Vital Serie A Victory

Palmeiras secured a 1-0 victory over a struggling Chapecoense at home, continuing their strong Serie A form while the visitors extended a grim run of four defeats in five.

Read article →

Head-to-head

  • Palmeiras1 : 0Chapecoense