Recent form
Santos: 2 losses from last 2 (conceded 6 goals)
Confidence52%
Serie A
FT
Santos
3:1
Vitória
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence42%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Vitória: 3 wins from last 5 (clean sheets in 3 of 5)
Confidence52%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence52%
Market signals
Vitória beat Flamengo 2-0 and Internacional 2-0 in May 2026
Confidence52%
Match odds
1X2
Santos3.23
Draw3.70
Vitória2.38
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.27
Under 2.51.79
Prediction
Predicted score
1-2
Confidence
52%
Prediction
Draw
Outcome probabilities
Santos · 31%Draw · 27%Vitória · 42%
Key factor
- Santos: 2 losses from last 2 (conceded 6 goals)
- Vitória: 3 wins from last 5 (clean sheets in 3 of 5)
- Vitória beat Flamengo 2-0 and Internacional 2-0 in May 2026
- Santos conceded 0-3 at home vs Coritiba on May 17
- Predicted score: Santos 1-2 Vitória
- Both teams to score probability: 54%
Santos host Vitória at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira in Serie A Round 18 on May 31 2026. Vitória arrive in better form with three wins from five, while Santos have lost their last two including a 0-3 home defeat. The predicted outcome is a narrow Vitória away victory, with a scoreline of 1-2 and both teams expected to score.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Based on recent form, Vitória are slight favourites with an estimated 42% win probability, while Santos have a 31% chance and a draw stands at 27%.
Post-match recap
Santos 3-1 Vitória: Recital en casa que desafió todos los pronósticos
Santos delivered a dominant 3-1 victory over Vitória at home in Serie A, defying pre-match predictions and reigniting their campaign with a statement performance.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Santos3 : 1Vitória