Recent form
Vasco da Gama: 1W-2D-2L in last 5 matches
Confidence52%
Serie A
FT
Vasco da Gama
0:1
Atlético Mineiro
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence44%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Atlético Mineiro: 2W-1D-2L in last 5 matches
Confidence52%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence52%
Market signals
Vasco conceded 7 goals in their last 2 games
Confidence52%
Match odds
1X2
Vasco da Gama3.45
Draw3.70
Atlético Mineiro2.27
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.00
Under 2.52.00
Prediction
Predicted score
1-2
Confidence
52%
Prediction
Atlético Mineiro
Outcome probabilities
Vasco da Gama · 29%Draw · 27%Atlético Mineiro · 44%
Key factor
- Vasco da Gama: 1W-2D-2L in last 5 matches
- Atlético Mineiro: 2W-1D-2L in last 5 matches
- Vasco conceded 7 goals in their last 2 games
- Atlético Mineiro scored 4 goals in their last 2 wins
- BTTS probability: 56%
- Over 2.5 goals probability: 50%
Atlético Mineiro are predicted to win 2-1 away at Vasco da Gama in Round 18 of the 2026 Série A. Vasco's defensive collapse — seven goals conceded in two games — hands the advantage to a Galo side with superior squad quality. Both teams are expected to score, with an away win probability of 44%.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Our model predicts an Atlético Mineiro away win, with a projected score of 1-2. Vasco's defensive form has been very poor recently, conceding 7 goals in two games.
Post-match recap
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Atlético Mineiro: Galo grind out crucial Serie A win
Atlético Mineiro edged out a gritty 0-1 victory at São Januário, extending Vasco da Gama's miserable run to four defeats in five Serie A outings.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Vasco da Gama0 : 1Atlético Mineiro