Recent form
Bahia: 1 point from last 5 Serie A games
Confidence50%
Serie A
FT
Bahia
2:1
Botafogo
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence44%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Bahia: 10 goals conceded in 5 games (2.0 avg)
Confidence50%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence50%
Market signals
Botafogo: 5 points from last 5 games
Confidence50%
Match odds
1X2
Bahia3.57
Draw3.57
Botafogo2.27
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.51.82
Under 2.52.22
Prediction
Predicted score
1-2
Confidence
50%
Prediction
Botafogo
Outcome probabilities
Bahia · 28%Draw · 28%Botafogo · 44%
Key factor
- Bahia: 1 point from last 5 Serie A games
- Bahia: 10 goals conceded in 5 games (2.0 avg)
- Botafogo: 5 points from last 5 games
- Botafogo: Won 3-1 vs Corinthians (May 17)
- BTTS probability: 62%
- Over 2.5 goals probability: 55%
Botafogo are predicted to win 1-2 against Bahia in Serie A Round 18 at Arena Fonte Nova on May 30, 2026. Bahia's dire form — just one point from five games and ten goals conceded — gives Botafogo the edge despite their own inconsistency. Both teams are expected to score, with over 2.5 goals a near-even proposition.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Botafogo are predicted to win, with a projected scoreline of 1-2. Their recent form of five points from five games significantly outpaces Bahia's single point over the same period.
Post-match recap
Bahia 2-1 Botafogo: Tricolor ends losing run with gritty home win in Serie A
Bahia snapped a three-game losing streak with a gritty 2-1 Serie A victory over Botafogo, defying the pre-match prediction that had tipped the visitors to win by the same scoreline.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Bahia2 : 1Botafogo