Recent form
Grêmio: W-D-W-L-D in last 5 (3 goals in most recent match)
Confidence55%
Serie A
FT
Grêmio
1:3
Corinthians
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence42%
Head-to-head history
1 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence10%
Statistical trends
Corinthians: W-L-W-W-L in last 5 (conceded 3 vs Botafogo)
Confidence55%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence55%
Market signals
Home win probability: 42% | Draw: 28% | Away win: 30%
Confidence55%
Match odds
1X2
Grêmio2.38
Draw3.57
Corinthians3.33
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.13
Under 2.51.89
Prediction
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
55%
Prediction
Draw
Outcome probabilities
Grêmio · 42%Draw · 28%Corinthians · 30%
Key factor
- Grêmio: W-D-W-L-D in last 5 (3 goals in most recent match)
- Corinthians: W-L-W-W-L in last 5 (conceded 3 vs Botafogo)
- Home win probability: 42% | Draw: 28% | Away win: 30%
- Both teams to score probability: 52%
- Over 2.5 goals probability: 47%
- Predicted score: Grêmio 2-1 Corinthians
Grêmio host Corinthians at Arena do Grêmio in Série A Round 18 on May 30, 2026. Grêmio are slight favorites (42%) thanks to home advantage and a recent 3-2 win over Santos. A 2-1 home victory is the most likely outcome, with both teams expected to score.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Grêmio are slight favorites due to home advantage at Arena do Grêmio and their recent 3-2 win over Santos, showing strong attacking form.
Post-match recap
Grêmio 1-3 Corinthians: Timão Deliver Commanding Away Win in Porto Alegre
Corinthians delivered a statement away win in Porto Alegre, beating Grêmio 3-1 to continue their impressive Serie A run and defy pre-match predictions of a draw.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Grêmio1 : 3Corinthians