FootballPredictions AI
Copa do BrasilEstádio Nilton Santos
UPCOMING
Botafogo crest
Botafogo
UPCOMING
Chapecoense crest
Chapecoense

AI analysis across six dimensions

Each dimension combines model output with available match context.

Recent form

Botafogo won the first leg 4-1 away at Chapecoense, demonstrating a large quality gap

Confidence63%

Team strength

Botafogo

Relative strength from outcome probabilities.

Confidence63%

Head-to-head history

2 previous meeting(s) considered.

Confidence20%

Statistical trends

Home advantage at Estádio Nilton Santos further benefits Botafogo

Confidence63%

AI sentiment

Overall model confidence for this forecast.

Confidence63%

Market signals

Chapecoense must overcome a 3-goal aggregate deficit — near-impossible task

Confidence63%

Match odds

1X2

Botafogo1.59
Draw4.55
Chapecoense6.67

Handicap ±0.5

Home -0.5
Away +0.5

Odds unavailable

Over / Under 2.5 goals

Over 2.51.92
Under 2.52.08

Prediction

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
63%
Prediction
Botafogo

Outcome probabilities

Botafogo · 63%Draw · 22%Chapecoense · 15%

Key factor

  • Botafogo won the first leg 4-1 away at Chapecoense, demonstrating a large quality gap
  • Home advantage at Estádio Nilton Santos further benefits Botafogo
  • Chapecoense must overcome a 3-goal aggregate deficit — near-impossible task
  • Potential Botafogo squad rotation may slightly reduce intensity but not quality edge
  • No bookmaker odds available, but implied probability strongly favors Botafogo
  • Chapecoense showed some attacking ability (scored in first leg) but defensively very fragile

Botafogo host Chapecoense at the Nilton Santos with a commanding 4-1 first-leg advantage, making them overwhelming favourites to win both the match and progress in the Copa do Brasil. A 2-1 home victory is the most likely outcome.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data

FAQ

Botafogo won the first leg 4-1 in Chapecó on April 18, 2026, giving them a commanding three-goal aggregate lead heading into the home tie.

Head-to-head

  • Botafogo- : -Chapecoense
  • Chapecoense1 : 4Botafogo