Recent form
Málaga form: W-W-D-W-W in last 5 (4W, 1D)
Confidence64%
La Liga 2Estadio La Rosaleda
FT
Málaga
1:1
Las Palmas
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence50%
Head-to-head history
2 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence20%
Statistical trends
Las Palmas form: L-W-D-W-L in last 5 (2W, 1D, 2L)
Confidence64%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence64%
Market signals
Málaga won the first leg 1-0 at Las Palmas on June 7
Confidence64%
Match odds
1X2
Málaga2.00
Draw3.57
Las Palmas4.55
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.53.33
Under 2.51.43
Prediction
Predicted score
1-0
Confidence
64%
Prediction
Málaga
Outcome probabilities
Málaga · 50%Draw · 28%Las Palmas · 22%
Key factor
- Málaga form: W-W-D-W-W in last 5 (4W, 1D)
- Las Palmas form: L-W-D-W-L in last 5 (2W, 1D, 2L)
- Málaga won the first leg 1-0 at Las Palmas on June 7
- Málaga: clean sheets in 2 of last 3 away matches
- Las Palmas conceded 5 goals to FC Andorra in May
- Home side predicted to win: ~50% probability
Málaga host Las Palmas in the second leg of this La Liga 2 promotion playoff on June 10, 2026, at Estadio La Rosaleda, holding a 1-0 aggregate advantage from the first leg. Málaga are in superb form with four wins from their last five matches and are predicted to win 1-0, advancing 2-0 on aggregate. Las Palmas must score without reply to extend the tie, a difficult task against a well-organised home side. Our model gives Málaga a 50% chance of winning the match, with a 28% draw probability and 22% for a Las Palmas victory.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
Lineups
ConfirmedMálaga
1
Herrero
3
Puga
16
Murillo
20
Montero
31
Garrido
10
Larrubia
11
Muñoz
12
Dotor
22
Lorenzo
23
Merino
9
Chupe
Las Palmas
1
Horkas
2
Park
3
Mármol
4
Suárez
5
Clemente
14
Fuster
16
Amatucci
18
Miyashiro
20
Rodríguez
10
Jesé
39
Pedrola
FAQ
Málaga won the first leg 1-0 at Las Palmas on June 7, 2026, meaning they take a one-goal aggregate lead into the home second leg.
Post-match recap
Málaga 1-1 Las Palmas: Las Palmas frenan al equipo de casa con un empate en La Rosaleda
Málaga and Las Palmas shared the spoils at La Rosaleda, drawing 1-1 just three days after the home side had beaten the same opponents 1-0 in La Liga 2.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Málaga1 : 1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas0 : 1Málaga