FootballPredictions AI
La Liga 2Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
FT
Almería crest
Almería
3:2
Castellón crest
Castellón

AI analysis across six dimensions

Each dimension combines model output with available match context.

Recent form

Almería: 1W 2D 2L in last 5 matches

Confidence52%

Team strength

Almería

Relative strength from outcome probabilities.

Confidence42%

Head-to-head history

2 previous meeting(s) considered.

Confidence20%

Statistical trends

Castellón: 2W 3D 0L in last 5 matches

Confidence52%

AI sentiment

Overall model confidence for this forecast.

Confidence52%

Market signals

First leg: Castellón 1-1 Almería (aggregate level)

Confidence52%

Match odds

1X2

Almería2.38
Draw3.70
Castellón3.23

Handicap ±0.5

Home -0.5
Away +0.5

Odds unavailable

Over / Under 2.5 goals

Over 2.52.63
Under 2.51.61

Prediction

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
52%
Prediction
Draw

Outcome probabilities

Almería · 42%Draw · 27%Castellón · 31%

Key factor

  • Almería: 1W 2D 2L in last 5 matches
  • Castellón: 2W 3D 0L in last 5 matches
  • First leg: Castellón 1-1 Almería (aggregate level)
  • Almería home: won 1-0 vs Valladolid recently
  • Castellón away: won 1-0 at Huesca recently
  • Over 2.5 goals probability: ~38%

Almería host Castellón in the La Liga 2 playoff second leg with the aggregate locked at 1-1 after the first leg draw. Almería's home advantage is key, but Castellón arrive unbeaten in five. Our model predicts a narrow 2-1 home win for Almería, with both teams likely to score in a tense encounter.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data

Lineups

Confirmed

Almería

1
Fernández
3
Muñoz
5
Ely
18
Bonini
22
Chirino
11
Arribas
12
Baptistão
17
Lopy
23
Embarba
29
Dzodic
24
Fuente

Castellón

13
Matthys
3
Brignani
5
Jiménez
12
Alcázar
8
Barri
15
Gerenabarrena
18
Santiago
21
Calatrava
25
Ronaldo
9
Camara
19
Jakobsen

FAQ

The first leg at Castellón ended 1-1 on June 6, 2026, meaning the aggregate is level as the teams head into the second leg at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos.
Post-match recap

Almería 3-2 Castellón: Hosts Defy Draw Prediction in a Breathless La Liga 2 Thriller

Almería claimed a 3-2 home victory over Castellón in La Liga 2, overturning the pre-match draw prediction with a five-goal thriller at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos.

Read article

Head-to-head

  • Almería3 : 2Castellón
  • Castellón1 : 1Almería