Recent form
Málaga: 4W 1D in last 5 matches
Confidence52%
La Liga 2Estadio de Gran Canaria
FT
Las Palmas
0:1
Málaga
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence39%
Head-to-head history
2 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence20%
Statistical trends
Las Palmas: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 matches
Confidence52%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence52%
Market signals
Málaga scored 4 goals in two of their last five games
Confidence52%
Match odds
1X2
Las Palmas2.94
Draw3.70
Málaga2.56
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.27
Under 2.51.79
Prediction
Predicted score
1-2
Confidence
52%
Prediction
Draw
Outcome probabilities
Las Palmas · 34%Draw · 27%Málaga · 39%
Key factor
- Málaga: 4W 1D in last 5 matches
- Las Palmas: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 matches
- Málaga scored 4 goals in two of their last five games
- Las Palmas conceded 5 goals in their worst recent defeat (vs Andorra)
- Málaga kept a clean sheet in their most recent away fixture
- Away win probability: 39% | Draw: 27% | Home win: 34%
Las Palmas host Málaga in the first leg of a La Liga 2 promotion playoff at Gran Canaria on June 7, 2026. Málaga arrive in superior form (4W 1D in last 5) and are narrow favourites at 39%, with Las Palmas given a 34% home-win chance. The predicted score is 1-2 to Málaga, setting up a tense second leg on June 10.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
Lineups
ConfirmedLas Palmas
1
Horkas
2
Park
3
Mármol
4
Suárez
5
Clemente
14
Fuster
16
Amatucci
18
Miyashiro
20
Rodríguez
10
Jesé
39
Pedrola
Málaga
1
Herrero
3
Puga
4
Galilea
16
Murillo
31
Garrido
10
Larrubia
11
Muñoz
12
Dotor
22
Lorenzo
23
Merino
9
Chupe
FAQ
Based on recent form, Málaga are slight favourites. They have won four of their last five matches and have shown they can score away from home, giving them an edge even at Gran Canaria.
Post-match recap
Las Palmas 0-1 Málaga: Visitors Claim Crucial Win and Hold Second-Leg Advantage
Málaga silenced Gran Canaria with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Las Palmas in La Liga 2, defying the AI's draw prediction and taking a vital advantage into the second leg.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Málaga1 : 1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas0 : 1Málaga