Recent form
Castellón: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5
Confidence55%
La Liga 2Nou Estadi Castalia
FT
Castellón
1:1
Almería
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence42%
Head-to-head history
2 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence20%
Statistical trends
Almería: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5
Confidence55%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence55%
Market signals
Castellón home unbeaten in 3 of last 4 at Castalia
Confidence55%
Match odds
1X2
Castellón2.38
Draw3.57
Almería3.33
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.22
Under 2.51.82
Prediction
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
55%
Prediction
Draw
Outcome probabilities
Castellón · 42%Draw · 28%Almería · 30%
Key factor
- Castellón: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5
- Almería: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5
- Castellón home unbeaten in 3 of last 4 at Castalia
- Almería away: lost at Sporting Gijón, failed to win at Burgos
- Both teams scored in 3 of Castellón's last 5 matches
- Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 recent Almería fixtures
Castellón host Almería at Nou Estadi Castalia in the first leg of a La Liga 2 promotion playoff on June 6, 2026. Castellón's recent two-match winning run and home advantage make them slight favorites, with a predicted 2-1 home victory. Both teams are capable of scoring, and the tie remains open heading into the second leg on June 9.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
Lineups
ConfirmedCastellón
13
Matthys
3
Brignani
5
Jiménez
12
Alcázar
8
Barri
15
Gerenabarrena
18
Santiago
21
Calatrava
9
Camara
14
Sánchez
19
Jakobsen
Almería
1
Fernández
3
Muñoz
5
Ely
16
Luna
18
Bonini
11
Arribas
12
Baptistão
17
Lopy
23
Embarba
29
Dzodic
24
Fuente
FAQ
Based on recent form and home advantage, Castellón are slight favorites to win the first leg at Nou Estadi Castalia, with a predicted score of 2-1.
Post-match recap
Castellón 1-1 Almería: First Leg Ends in Stalemate as Playoff Tie Hangs in the Balance
Castellón and Almería played out a gripping 1-1 draw in the first leg of their La Liga 2 playoff tie, leaving the outcome wide open ahead of the return match in Almería on June 9.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Almería3 : 2Castellón
- Castellón1 : 1Almería