Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Recent form
Castellón: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5
Confidence55%
Team strength
Castellón
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence42%
Head-to-head history
2 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence20%
Statistical trends
Almería: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5
Confidence55%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence55%
Market signals
Castellón home unbeaten in 3 of last 4 at Castalia
Confidence55%
Match odds
1X2
Castellón2.38
Draw3.57
Almería3.33
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.52.22
Under 2.51.82
Prediction
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
55%
Prediction
Draw
Outcome probabilities
Castellón · 42%Draw · 28%Almería · 30%
Key factor
Castellón: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5
Almería: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5
Castellón home unbeaten in 3 of last 4 at Castalia
Almería away: lost at Sporting Gijón, failed to win at Burgos
Both teams scored in 3 of Castellón's last 5 matches
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 recent Almería fixtures
Castellón host Almería at Nou Estadi Castalia in the first leg of a La Liga 2 promotion playoff on June 6, 2026. Castellón's recent two-match winning run and home advantage make them slight favorites, with a predicted 2-1 home victory. Both teams are capable of scoring, and the tie remains open heading into the second leg on June 9.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
FAQ
Based on recent form and home advantage, Castellón are slight favorites to win the first leg at Nou Estadi Castalia, with a predicted score of 2-1.