Recent form
Málaga form: W W W D D (last 5 matches)
Confidence54%
La Liga 2
FT
Málaga
0:0
Almería
AI analysis across six dimensions
Each dimension combines model output with available match context.
Team strength
Relative strength from outcome probabilities.
Confidence44%
Head-to-head history
3 previous meeting(s) considered.
Confidence30%
Statistical trends
Almería form: W D W L L (last 5 matches)
Confidence54%
AI sentiment
Overall model confidence for this forecast.
Confidence54%
Market signals
First leg result: Almería 3-2 Málaga (April 19, 2026)
Confidence54%
Match odds
1X2
Málaga2.27
Draw3.70
Almería3.45
Handicap ±0.5
Home -0.5—
Away +0.5—
Odds unavailable
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.51.82
Under 2.52.22
Prediction
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
54%
Prediction
Málaga
Outcome probabilities
Málaga · 44%Draw · 27%Almería · 29%
Key factor
- Málaga form: W W W D D (last 5 matches)
- Almería form: W D W L L (last 5 matches)
- First leg result: Almería 3-2 Málaga (April 19, 2026)
- Predicted score: Málaga 2-1 Almería
- Both teams to score probability: 63%
- Over 2.5 goals probability: 55%
Málaga host Almería at La Rosaleda on June 14, 2026 in the second leg of a La Liga 2 playoff tie, trailing 3-2 from the first meeting. Málaga's strong recent form and home advantage give them a narrow edge, with a 2-1 home win predicted. Both teams are expected to score in what should be an open, high-stakes encounter.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data
Lineups
ConfirmedMálaga
1
Herrero
3
Puga
16
Murillo
20
Montero
31
Garrido
10
Larrubia
11
Muñoz
12
Dotor
22
Lorenzo
23
Merino
9
Chupe
Almería
1
Fernández
3
Muñoz
5
Ely
18
Bonini
22
Chirino
11
Arribas
12
Baptistão
17
Lopy
23
Embarba
29
Dzodic
24
Fuente
FAQ
Málaga are the narrow favourites at home given their strong recent form (3W, 2D in last five) and their need to overcome the 3-2 first-leg deficit against Almería.
Post-match recap
Málaga 0-0 Almería: Goalless Draw Sets Up Tense Second Leg in La Liga 2 Playoff
Málaga and Almería played out a tense 0-0 draw in the La Liga 2 playoff first leg at La Rosaleda, leaving the tie wide open ahead of the return in Almería on June 20.
Read article →Head-to-head
- Almería- : -Málaga
- Málaga0 : 0Almería
- Almería3 : 2Málaga