FootballPredictions AI

Celtic vs Rangers Prediction May 2026 | Old Firm Derby

Premiership ·

Prediction
Celtic
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
58%

Celtic host Rangers in the Old Firm derby at Celtic Park on May 10, 2026. Celtic enter in strong form with back-to-back wins while Rangers have lost their last two matches, conceding five goals. The prediction favours a Celtic 2-1 victory, with both teams likely to score in what should be a fiercely competitive derby.

Key stats

  • Celtic: 2 wins from last 2 matches, 5 goals scored
  • Rangers: 2 losses from last 2 matches, 5 goals conceded
  • Venue: Celtic Park — historically strong home record for Celtic in derbies
  • Predicted scoreline: Celtic 2-1 Rangers
  • Both teams to score probability: 58%
  • Over 2.5 goals probability: 52%

Full analysis

The 2026 Old Firm derby at Celtic Park on May 10 pits a Celtic side brimming with momentum against a Rangers outfit that has been haemorrhaging confidence at an alarming rate. Celtic's recent results — a 2-1 win at Hibernian followed by a 3-1 home victory over Falkirk — signal a team in rhythm, with their attacking patterns clicking and their defensive structure largely intact. This is precisely the form you want heading into the most emotionally charged fixture in Scottish football. Rangers' situation is the inverse. Consecutive losses, including a humiliating 3-2 defeat at home to Motherwell, have exposed both tactical and psychological fragility within the squad. Five goals conceded in two games against opponents Celtic would be expected to handle comfortably is a damning statistic ahead of a derby. The pressing question is whether Rangers' players can mentally reset for Parkhead when confidence appears so visibly shaken. Celtic Park adds another layer of pressure onto Rangers. The ground's noise, its history, and the Celtic support's ability to energise their own players while unsettling visitors creates an environment that is tangibly different from any other stadium in Scottish football. For a Rangers team already rattled, this context matters enormously. The tactical battle will likely see Rangers attempt to sit deep and defend compactly in the early stages, aiming to frustrate Celtic and keep the game goalless long enough to drain home confidence. Celtic will seek to impose themselves quickly, using wide areas to stretch Rangers' defensive shape and create central overloads. Given Rangers' recent defensive lapses, Celtic's attack should find openings. Both teams scoring is very plausible — derbies carry their own logic and Rangers possess forward talent capable of capitalising on any defensive lapse from Celtic. However, the weight of evidence firmly points toward a Celtic home victory, with a 2-1 scoreline representing the most likely outcome. Confidence in this prediction is moderate, as Old Firm matches demand respect for their capacity to surprise.

FAQ

Celtic are the strong favourites based on their recent form (two consecutive wins) versus Rangers' two consecutive defeats, combined with home advantage at Celtic Park.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data