Alavés vs Mallorca Prediction | La Liga 25 Apr 2026

Deportivo Alavés welcome Mallorca to the Estadio de Mendizorroza in what looks set to be a close and potentially high-scoring La Liga Round 32 encounter. Based on recent form alone — with no bookmaker odds or lineup data available — our model gives the home side a slim advantage. Alavés have been involved in frenetic matches of late. Their 3-3 draw with Real Sociedad and 2-2 against Osasuna point to a team that loves to attack but struggles to keep opponents out. A 4-3 away win at Celta de Vigo further underlines their capacity for drama. However, a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid shows they can be punished by quality opposition. At home, though, Alavés tend to feed off the Mendizorroza atmosphere — a ground known for its intense, partisan support. Mallorca's form tells a similar story of peaks and troughs. Beating Real Madrid 2-1 is a result that will live long in memory, but it was sandwiched by a defeat at Elche and a drab 1-1 draw with Valencia. Mallorca have the tactical intelligence to shut up shop but can be uninspiring when the emotional stakes feel lower. On the road, their record tends to be cautious rather than dynamic. Given the attacking intent from Alavés and the reasonable quality Mallorca possess on the counter, both teams are likely to score. Over 2.5 goals is a coin flip at around 50%, while the home win is narrowly the most likely outcome at 38%, followed by a draw at 32%, and a Mallorca win at 30%. The recommended prediction is a 2-1 Alavés victory. Home advantage, attacking intent, and the Mendizorroza crowd should be enough to edge this one — but Mallorca's unpredictability makes any forecast with limited data carry notable uncertainty. Keep an eye on team news closer to kickoff.