Monza vs Empoli Prediction – Serie B Round 38 | May 2026

Monza and Empoli go head-to-head in a potentially decisive Serie B Round 38 clash at the U-Power Stadium in Monza. With the season at its conclusion, every point carries amplified significance, and neither side can afford a careless performance. Monza come into this match having won their last home game 1-0 against Modena on April 24, showing defensive discipline and the ability to protect a lead on home soil. Their most recent outing — a 3-2 loss away at Mantova — was disappointing but came on the road, where they are evidently more exposed. At home, the story is different: the U-Power Stadium has been a reliable fortress, and with local support behind them in a season finale, Monza are a tough proposition to break down. Empoli arrive with mixed credentials. A 1-0 home win over Avellino on May 1 boosted their confidence, but the 2-0 defeat at Venezia six days earlier is hard to overlook. In that match, Empoli were shut out completely, failing to register an attacking foothold. Away from Tuscany, Empoli have lacked the sharpness and resilience that characterises their home performances. The tactical shape of this fixture is likely to be compact and low-energy in terms of open play. Both sides have been involved in games decided by a single goal, and the pattern of results — 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 — suggests a match that will be resolved by a moment of quality rather than free-flowing football. Monza hold a slight edge courtesy of the home factor. In Serie B, where the margin between teams is thin, playing in front of your own fans on the final day is a genuine advantage. Empoli must prove they can travel and perform, something they have struggled to do lately. We predict a 1-0 Monza win, with a draw also very much on the cards. Over 2.5 goals is rated at only 32%, reflecting the defensive patterns seen throughout recent rounds.