FootballPredictions AI

New England vs Philadelphia Union Prediction – MLS May 2026

Major League Soccer ·

Prediction
New England
Predicted score
2-0
Confidence
63%

New England Revolution host Philadelphia Union at Gillette Stadium on May 9, 2026 in MLS action. The Revolution are in strong form with 3 wins from their last 4 matches, while the Union are winless in four. New England are predicted to win 2-0 with a 52% home win probability.

Key stats

  • New England: 3W 1D in last 4 matches
  • Philadelphia Union: 0W 3D 1L in last 4 matches
  • Union scored just 3 goals in last 4 games
  • New England conceded only 3 goals in last 4 games
  • Philadelphia failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches
  • New England predicted to win: 52% probability

Full analysis

New England Revolution host Philadelphia Union at Gillette Stadium in what promises to be a sharply contrasting battle of form. The Revolution are unquestionably the in-form side heading into this fixture, having put together a four-game stretch that reads three wins and one draw. Their victory over Columbus Crew (2-1) at home was followed by an eye-catching away win at Atlanta United (2-1), a creditable draw at Inter Miami (1-1), and most recently a disciplined 1-0 home win over Charlotte. That is the kind of consistency that speaks to a team with tactical clarity and a winning mentality. Philadelphia Union are at the other end of the mood spectrum. Four games without a win — three draws and a two-goal defeat at Columbus — have left them looking toothless and uninspired. The Union managed just three goals in that stretch, and two of their last four games ended 0-0. They drew a blank at home to Nashville and DC United, both results that highlight a side struggling for creative spark. Their only goal-laden game, a 3-3 draw away at Toronto, owed more to defensive chaos than attacking brilliance. The home factor cannot be ignored. Gillette Stadium has been a reliable base for New England, and in a league as physically demanding as MLS, home matches carry genuine weight. The Revolution's press and transition game is firing well, and their confidence will be high coming off three recent victories. Philadelphia, meanwhile, have shown little to suggest they can replicate the kind of attacking output needed to threaten an organized home defense. The prediction is a 2-0 New England victory. A scoreline of this kind reflects both the form gap and Philadelphia's chronic inability to find the net. The draw market holds some value given MLS parity, but with New England's momentum so strong, backing the home win seems the most evidence-based call. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are both low-probability given recent trends from both camps.

FAQ

Based on recent form — New England are on a 3W-1D run while Philadelphia Union are winless in four — the Revolution are favored to win at home.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data