Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United on May 10 2026?

Based on form and home advantage, Nottingham Forest are clear favourites with a 60% win probability. Newcastle have lost four of their last five league games.

What is the predicted score for Forest vs Newcastle?

We predict a 2-1 win for Nottingham Forest, reflecting their attacking prowess and Newcastle's recent defensive instability.

How is Nottingham Forest's recent form?

Forest have scored 16 goals in their last five Premier League games, winning four, including a 3-1 win at Chelsea and a 5-0 demolition of Sunderland.

Why is Newcastle United in poor form?

Newcastle have lost four of their last five, including home defeats to Bournemouth and Sunderland, raising serious questions about their defensive organisation.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?

Over 2.5 goals has a 60% probability given Forest's high-scoring recent run, though Newcastle's counter-attacking threat could limit their defensive exposure.

Forest vs Newcastle Prediction | Premier League May 2026

Prediction

Nottingham Forest

Predicted score

2-1

Confidence

68%

Nottingham Forest host Newcastle United on May 10, 2026 in the Premier League. Forest are heavy favourites based on a 4W-1D run including wins at Chelsea and Tottenham, while Newcastle have lost four of their last five. We predict a 2-1 home win with 60% confidence.

Key stats

Forest form: W-W-W-D-W (last 5, 16 goals scored)
Newcastle form: W-L-L-L-L (last 5, 4 defeats)
Forest scored 5-0 vs Sunderland and 3-1 at Chelsea recently
Newcastle lost at home to Bournemouth AND Sunderland in last 5
Predicted score: Forest 2-1 Newcastle
Home win probability: 60%

Full analysis

Nottingham Forest welcome a struggling Newcastle United side to the City Ground on Matchday 36 of the Premier League, and the form book tells a compelling story in the home side's favour. Forest have been one of the most in-form sides in England recently, recording four wins and one draw in their last five league matches. They dismantled Sunderland 5-0 away, defeated Chelsea 3-1 at Stamford Bridge, hammered Burnley 4-1, and won 3-0 at Tottenham — accumulating 16 goals in the process. This is a side firing on all cylinders with European ambitions driving every performance. Newcastle, by contrast, have been in freefall. Eddie Howe's squad has lost four of their last five Premier League games, falling to Arsenal, Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, and Sunderland — the last of those a particularly demoralising home defeat to a newly promoted side. Only a 3-1 win over Brighton provided any relief. Newcastle's defensive structure has looked porous, and their midfield has struggled to assert control in recent weeks. The City Ground will be a cauldron of noise, with Forest fans galvanised by their team's remarkable late-season surge. Home advantage matters at this venue, and paired with Forest's momentum and Newcastle's fragility, the conditions strongly favour a home victory. We assign a 60% win probability to Forest, with 20% each for a draw and a Newcastle win. Alexander Isak's quality means Newcastle can never be fully written off as a scoring threat, contributing to a 52% probability of both teams scoring. However, Forest's backline has been reasonably solid, conceding in a controlled manner even as they score freely. Over 2.5 goals at 60% reflects the attacking quality on the Forest side rather than an open game between equals. Our predicted scoreline is 2-1 to Nottingham Forest: the hosts go ahead through their potent frontline, add a second, and Newcastle pull one back late through individual quality. Forest hold on to claim three vital points in their European quest, while Newcastle's miserable run continues heading into the final weeks of the season.

Key stats

Full analysis

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