FootballPredictions AI

Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction | Ligue 1 Round 31 2026

Ligue 1 ·

Prediction
Olympique Lyonnais
Predicted score
2-1
Confidence
61%

Olympique Lyonnais are predicted to beat Auxerre 2-1 at the Groupama Stadium in Ligue 1 Round 31. Lyon's impressive recent form — including a win at PSG — combined with Endrick starting up front makes them strong favourites. Auxerre's draw-heavy away form and defensive setup limits their chances of taking points, though Romain Faivre and Lassine Sinayoko provide a counter-attacking threat. Home win probability is estimated at 52%.

Key stats

  • Lyon: W-W-D-L in last 4 (including away win at PSG)
  • Auxerre: D-D-D-W in last 4 (3 consecutive draws before this game)
  • Endrick confirmed in Lyon starting XI as centre-forward
  • Romain Faivre leads Auxerre's attacking threat from wide positions
  • Groupama Stadium: Lyon's home form a key advantage
  • Predicted outcome: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre

Full analysis

Olympique Lyonnais welcome Auxerre to the Groupama Stadium for Ligue 1 Round 31 on April 25, 2026, with Lyon riding a wave of confidence that has few parallels in their recent history. Their most emphatic result of late was a 2-1 away victory over Paris Saint-Germain — a statement of intent that has firmly re-established Lyon as a genuine force in the top tier of French football. Backed by a home win over Lorient and a competitive draw at Angers, Lyon go into this match in excellent shape despite a mid-period stumble against Monaco. Auxerre arrive in a very different state of mind. Three consecutive draws have defined their recent run — disciplined performances, but ones that betray a team lacking the cutting edge to see games out. Their only decisive result in the past four was a comfortable 3-0 home win over Brest, which speaks more to that opponent's fragility than Auxerre's potency. On the road, Les Auxerrois tend to be even more conservative, prioritising defensive shape over attacking ambition. The confirmed lineups add crucial texture to the pre-match picture. Lyon's most significant selection is the inclusion of Endrick at number nine. The Brazilian prodigy, on loan from Real Madrid, offers pace, dribbling brilliance and the ability to score from tight angles — exactly the profile that will trouble a settled Auxerre back line featuring Sinaly Diomandé and Bryan Okoh. Afonso Moreira provides additional forward energy, while Tyler Morton and Orel Mangala give Lyon the midfield control to manage both possession and tempo. Ruben Kluivert deployed in a defensive role reflects a versatile system under the Lyon coaching staff. For Auxerre, Romain Faivre is the man Lyon must monitor most closely. The experienced attacker has the technical quality to manufacture chances from nothing, and alongside Josué Casimir and Lassine Sinayoko, Auxerre's front line is not without threat. The visitors will aim to stay compact in a 4-4-2 or 4-5-1 defensive shape, winning the ball back quickly and exploiting transition moments through Faivre's vision and Sinayoko's speed. The tactical battle will likely centre on Lyon's ability to break down Auxerre's compact mid-block versus Auxerre's capacity to stay disciplined for 90 minutes against a fired-up home crowd. History suggests that teams facing Lyon after the PSG result will encounter a team playing with immense confidence — dangerous for any opponent. Auxerre's draw habit may actually work against them here, as an opening Lyon goal is likely to force them out of their preferred defensive structure. The prediction is a 2-1 Lyon victory. The home side's quality, momentum and confirmed lineup are too strong for Auxerre to contain, though the visitors' attacking players give them enough to find a consolation. Both teams to score is a real possibility, and the match should produce an entertaining contest even if the result seems likely from early on.

FAQ

Lyon are the clear favourites based on recent form — including an away win at PSG — home advantage, and the quality of their confirmed lineup featuring Endrick.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data

Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction | Ligue 1 Round 31 2026 | FootballPredictions AI