FootballPredictions AI

Parma vs Roma Prediction – Serie A May 2026

Serie A ·

Prediction
Roma
Predicted score
1-2
Confidence
60%

Roma are heavy favourites to win away at Parma on May 10, 2026, backed by three wins in four matches including a 4-0 thrashing of Fiorentina. Parma have shown inconsistency including a home defeat to Cremonese. Our model predicts a 1-2 Roma away victory with both teams scoring.

Key stats

  • Roma: 3W 1D in last 4 Serie A matches
  • Roma: 9 goals scored in last 3 games
  • Parma: lost at home to Cremonese in last 5 games
  • Parma: only 1 goal scored in each recent win
  • Roma conceded just 1 goal in last 4 matches
  • No confirmed lineups for either side

Full analysis

Roma travel to Stadio Ennio Tardini on Matchday 36 of Serie A in noticeably better form than their hosts Parma, making them the clear favourites in this fixture despite the away designation. Parma's recent five-game stretch tells the story of a side with potential but inconsistency at its core. They managed back-to-back wins at Pisa and Udinese — both respectable results — but sandwiched around that run are a home defeat to Cremonese and a 2-0 drubbing away at Inter. The loss at home to a Cremonese side is particularly concerning and suggests Parma can be vulnerable at the Tardini when not fully motivated or switched on. Their single-goal victories indicate a squad that grinds results rather than dominates. Roma, on the other hand, arrive with real momentum. Their 4-0 demolition of Fiorentina at home is arguably the most eye-catching result in Serie A over the past week, following a clean-sheet 2-0 away win at Bologna. In their last four matches, Roma have won three and drawn one, conceding just one goal in that span. Even their draw with Atalanta — a tough opponent — shows composure and resilience. Goal-scoring has been a Roma strength recently: they netted nine goals in their last three competitive games, showcasing variety and depth in attack. Whether in transition or possession-based build-up, Roma have looked sharp. For Parma, keeping a clean sheet against this side will be the biggest challenge. Parma's home advantage must be respected. The Tardini provides a compact atmosphere and Parma have shown they can frustrate better teams — the 1-1 at Lazio is a reference point. They won't capitulate easily. However, the quality gap and disparity in current form are difficult to ignore. With no lineup confirmations available, uncertainty remains around both squads, but structural quality and recent momentum point firmly toward Roma. Expect Roma to control large stretches of the game, with Parma likely to threaten on the counter. A 1-2 Roma victory is the most probable outcome, with both teams finding the net given Parma's home energy and Roma's inevitable offensive pressure. From a betting standpoint, Roma's away win combined with both teams to score represents the best value in this fixture. Over 2.5 goals is also plausible given Roma's scoring rate and Parma's tendency to contribute to open games when pressed.

FAQ

Roma are the favourites based on their recent form, having won three of their last four Serie A matches and conceding just one goal in that spell.

Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data