Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo on May 3 2026?

PEC Zwolle are given a slight edge at home, with a predicted 2-1 win, though the match is expected to be tight given both sides' poor recent form.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo?

Based on both teams' recent defensive records — PEC conceded six to PSV and Heracles conceded two to Volendam — a score of around 2-1 or 1-1 seems plausible.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo?

Yes, both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities recently, making it likely that each side finds the net at least once.

What are the win probabilities for PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo?

Our model gives PEC Zwolle a 38% win probability, a draw at 27%, and Heracles Almelo at 35% — a very closely contested fixture.

Is there likely to be over 2.5 goals in this match?

There is a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals, reflecting the defensive weaknesses both sides have shown in recent matches.

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo Prediction – Eredivisie 2026

Prediction

PEC Zwolle

Predicted score

2-1

Confidence

40%

PEC Zwolle host Heracles Almelo in Eredivisie Round 32 on May 3, 2026 at the MAC³PARK Stadion. Both sides arrive in poor form, but home advantage gives PEC Zwolle a slight edge with a predicted 2-1 win. The match carries significant uncertainty due to limited available data.

Key stats

PEC Zwolle lost 6-1 to PSV in their last match
Heracles Almelo lost 0-2 at home to Volendam
Home win probability: 38%
Draw probability: 27%
Away win probability: 35%
Over 2.5 goals probability: 52%

Full analysis

PEC Zwolle welcome Heracles Almelo to the MAC³PARK Stadion for a late-season Eredivisie Round 32 clash, with both sides looking to shake off disappointing recent results. The data available for this fixture is limited — no league standings, confirmed lineups, or bookmaker odds have been published — so analysis relies on recent form trends, home advantage, and broader Eredivisie context. PEC Zwolle's last outing was a painful 6-1 thrashing at PSV Eindhoven. Although no Eredivisie side is expected to handle PSV comfortably, the scale of that defeat suggests deeper issues around defensive shape and team confidence. The silver lining for the home side is motivation: players will be eager to restore their reputation in front of their own supporters. Heracles Almelo arrive having lost 0-2 at home to FC Volendam — a result that carries more concern than PEC's loss to PSV. Being beaten at home by a side of Volendam's calibre points to a genuine slump in form and the inability to control matches. Away from home, Heracles face an even tougher task. Home advantage is the key differentiator here. In lower-table Eredivisie encounters, the home side typically benefits from crowd support and familiarity with the pitch, producing results that reflect that marginal edge. PEC Zwolle, wounded and motivated, should benefit from this dynamic. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides open the door for goals. A 2-1 home win is the most likely scenario, though a draw remains very much in play. Confidence in this prediction is low due to the limited data available, and bettors should treat this as a high-uncertainty fixture.

Key stats

Full analysis

FAQ