Pescara vs Spezia Prediction | Serie B Round 38
Serie B ·
Prediction
Spezia
Predicted score
1-2
Confidence
50%
Spezia are slight away favourites against Pescara in the final round of Serie B 2025/26, backed by stronger recent attacking form including a 6-1 win over Südtirol. Pescara have managed just 2 points from their last 3 matches. A 1-2 Spezia away win is the most likely outcome, with both teams expected to score.
Key stats
- Pescara: 2 pts from last 3 games (0W 2D 1L)
- Spezia: 4 pts from last 3 games (1W 1D 1L), 10 goals scored
- Pescara conceded in all 3 recent matches
- Spezia conceded in all 3 recent matches
- Both teams to score probability: 62%
- Over 2.5 goals probability: 55%
Full analysis
Pescara host Spezia at the Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia in the final round of Serie B 2025/26. This season-closing fixture carries potential significance depending on each club's standing, though without confirmed table data the analysis must lean heavily on recent form and observable trends.
Pescara come into this match on the back of a winless run stretching three games — a 1-0 loss at Calcio Padova, a 1-1 home draw with Juve Stabia, and a 2-2 draw at Carrarese. The Adriatic side have looked toothless at home, managing just one goal in their last home appearance. With their confidence visibly dented and no wins in recent memory, Pescara face an uphill challenge against a team that has shown they can score goals freely.
Spezia's recent form is a study in contrast. A thunderous 6-1 thrashing of Südtirol demonstrated that Spezia are capable of outscoring opponents comprehensively when the going is good. However, inconsistency is their Achilles heel — a 4-2 defeat at Catanzaro and a 2-2 draw at home to Venezia remind us that this Spezia side can equally capitulate defensively. The key question is which version turns up at the Adriatico.
The goals market looks appealing in this fixture. Pescara have found the net across their recent games — 5 goals in 3 matches — while Spezia's attack has been prolific, netting 10 goals in their last three. Both defences have been porous. The BTTS and over 2.5 goals markets look attractive at these odds.
With no lineup information available and no standings data, confidence remains at a moderate level. The slight edge goes to Spezia as the away side, primarily on the basis of superior attacking output and greater upside in their recent results. Predicted score: Pescara 1-2 Spezia.
FAQ
Our model gives Spezia a 42% win probability, Pescara 28%, and a draw 30%, making Spezia slight away favourites based on better recent form.
Analysis by claude-sonnet-4-6 using Sportmonks fixture data