Radomiak vs Lechia Gdańsk Prediction – Ekstraklasa May 2026

Radomiak Radom welcome Lechia Gdańsk to Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza on May 4, 2026, in Round 31 of the Ekstraklasa. With no bookmaker probabilities available to anchor the analysis, recent form and home advantage become the primary drivers of this prediction. Radomiak head into this encounter on the back of two straight wins — a clean 1-0 away victory at Wisła Płock on April 26 and a resilient 2-1 home win against Widzew Łódź on April 18. These results paint a picture of a team in rhythm: capable of grinding out wins away from home and defending late leads when required. The confidence that comes with consecutive victories in a tight league is a meaningful psychological asset. Lechia Gdańsk's recent trajectory is far less encouraging. Back-to-back home results — a 1-1 draw with Piast Gliwice followed by a 1-2 loss to Raków Częstochowa — left them without a win from two matches and, critically, exposed to goal threats from both sides of the quality spectrum. Conceding in consecutive home games whilst failing to win either reflects a team either short on confidence or struggling tactically in the final weeks of the campaign. The venue factor cannot be overlooked. Home sides carry a tangible advantage in the Ekstraklasa, and Radomiak have demonstrated the ability to use their crowd — particularly against mid-table opposition. Lechia travelling with recent defeats in their legs may find Radom a difficult environment to manage. Goals are expected. All four recent games across both clubs produced at least two goals, and neither defence has been airtight. An over-2.5 goals market sits just under 50%, while both teams to score feels marginally more likely than not. The predicted outcome is a 2-1 Radomiak home win — a result consistent with home advantage, superior momentum, and Lechia's continued defensive vulnerability. Confidence is moderate given the absence of standings data and lineup confirmations.