Who is favorite to win Young Boys vs Basel on May 10 2026?

Based on recent form, Basel arrive as marginal favorites. Young Boys have lost their last two games, including at home, while Basel won 3-1 in their most recent outing.

What is the predicted score for Young Boys vs Basel?

Our model predicts a 1-2 away win for Basel, though the derby nature of this fixture means a draw is also a realistic outcome at 27% probability.

Will both teams score in Young Boys vs Basel?

Both teams to score is rated at 55% probability. Young Boys have conceded in each of their last two games, while Basel scored three in their last match.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in this Swiss Super League match?

Over 2.5 goals has a 45% probability. Both sides have shown attacking output but also defensive fragility, making a moderate-scoring game likely.

What are the lineups for Young Boys vs Basel?

No lineup data is yet available for this fixture. Check closer to kickoff for confirmed team news that could significantly shift predictions.

Young Boys vs Basel Prediction – Super League Round 36

Prediction

Basel

Predicted score

1-2

Confidence

52%

Basel are marginal favorites (40%) to beat Young Boys at Wankdorf in Round 36 of the Swiss Super League. Young Boys have lost two consecutive games including a home defeat, while Basel arrive on the back of a 3-1 win over Thun. The predicted score is 1-2, with both teams to score rated at 55% probability.

Key stats

Young Boys: 2 consecutive losses (L, L) — 1 goal scored, 3 conceded
Basel: Last 3 results — W, L, L — most recently 3-1 vs Thun
Home win probability: 33% | Draw: 27% | Away win: 40%
Both teams to score: 55% | Over 2.5 goals: 45%
No confirmed lineups — prediction confidence: 0.52
Round 36 fixture — late-season stakes amplify derby intensity

Full analysis

Young Boys welcome Basel to the iconic Stadion Wankdorf in Bern for what promises to be a pivotal Round 36 clash in the Swiss Super League. The Berner Oberland derby is one of Swiss football's most electric fixtures — but form, not history, shapes the immediate outlook, and form clearly favors the visitors. Young Boys have been in freefall. A 1-0 defeat away to Lugano was followed by a troubling 1-2 home loss to St. Gallen at Wankdorf — the very ground where they will face Basel. Losing at home to St. Gallen sends an uncomfortable signal: the Wankdorf fortress has cracks in it. Young Boys managed only a single goal across those two matches, suggesting not only defensive vulnerability but an attacking unit that is misfiring at the worst possible time. Basel, meanwhile, head into this match with renewed energy following a 3-1 victory over Thun on May 2nd. The win came after two consecutive defeats — 0-2 at home to Sion and 1-3 away at Thun — highlighting Basel's inconsistency. However, the most recent result matters most for psychology heading into a derby. Three goals scored and a convincing margin give Basel's forwards and midfielders a confidence boost that could prove decisive. The home advantage at Wankdorf is historically significant and is factored into our model. Swiss Super League home sides tend to enjoy a meaningful edge, particularly in high-stakes local derbies. But home advantage is a statistical baseline, not a guarantee, and Young Boys must produce a performance they have been unable to deliver in two successive outings. With no lineup data confirmed, injury wildcards remain unknown. A key defensive absence for Young Boys or a sharpshooter returning for Basel could swing the match meaningfully. Our overall confidence sits at a moderate 0.52 for this reason. The predicted outcome is a narrow Basel victory, 1-2, with away win probability at 40%, a draw at 27%, and Young Boys triumph at 33%. Both teams to score is rated 55% likely given the attacking patterns seen in both squads recently. Over 2.5 goals sits at 45%, acknowledging that derbies can also produce tense, lower-scoring affairs.

Key stats

Full analysis

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